
Amazon Forecast
Overview
Amazon Forecast is a fully managed service provided by Amazon Web Services (AWS) that leverages machine learning to generate accurate time series forecasts. It's based on the same technology used by Amazon.com for its own forecasting needs, applying sophisticated algorithms to various types of data.
The service simplifies the process of building forecasting models, even for users without deep machine learning expertise. Users provide historical time series data (like demand for products, website traffic, or financial data), and Amazon Forecast automatically evaluates various algorithms, selects the best one, trains a model, and generates predictions. It handles tasks like data preparation, algorithm selection, training, and deployment, significantly reducing the time and effort required compared to traditional forecasting methods or building custom ML models.
Key Features
- Automated Machine Learning: Automatically inspects data, selects algorithms, trains models, and provides forecasts.
- Multiple Algorithms: Supports various algorithms including ARIMA, Prophet, DeepAR+, CNN-QR, and state-space models.
- Hierarchical Forecasting: Generates forecasts at multiple levels of aggregation.
- Related Time Series: Incorporates additional data (e.g., price, promotions, weather) to improve accuracy.
- Item Metadata: Uses static item attributes (e.g., color, category) for better modeling.
- Cold Start Forecasting: Generates forecasts for new items with limited or no historical data.
- Explainability: Provides insights into factors influencing forecasts.
- Built-in Holiday Calendars: Automatically accounts for holiday effects across many countries.
- Fully Managed Service: No infrastructure to provision or manage.
Supported Platforms
- Web Browser (AWS Management Console)
- API Access (via AWS SDKs)
- CLI Access (AWS CLI)
Integrations
- Amazon S3 (for data storage)
- Amazon CloudWatch (for monitoring)
- AWS Identity and Access Management (IAM)
- Amazon SageMaker (for custom model deployment)
- AWS Data Pipeline
- AWS Step Functions
- Various AWS services via APIs and SDKs
Pricing Tiers
- Charged for data storage (GB-month)
- Charged for data ingestion (GB)
- Charged for training hours (Node-hour)
- Charged for prediction hours (Node-hour) or number of predictions (per 1k)
- Up to 10 GB-months of data storage per month
- Up to 10 GB of data ingested per month
- Up to 10 Training hours per month
- Up to 10 Prediction hours per month
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